Source Review: MarketsAndMarkets — OSAM Market 2030 (2026)

Verdict: Consistent Confidence: medium

Industry market-research report for the on-orbit servicing sector. $2.4B (2023) → $5.1B (2030) at 11.5% CAGR is the canonical OSAM market-size figure. Service segments (ADR + orbit adjustment, robotic servicing, refueling, assembly) match consensus taxonomy. Used as the basis for q6.c13 servicing market sizing. Treated as scalar market-size estimate; not architecturally load-bearing for q6's main conclusions.

Abstract

Market-research report on the on-orbit satellite servicing sector. Market projected from $2.4B (2023) to $5.1B (2030), CAGR 11.5%. Four service categories: active debris removal (ADR) + orbit adjustment (projected to lead); robotic servicing; refueling (fluid transfer systems for safe satellite fueling); assembly (modular satellite construction). Key players: Maxar, Astroscale, SpaceLogistics LLC, Airbus, Thales Alenia Space. North America largest share; commercial segment fastest-growing.

Key claims

• market-2023-24b: $2.4B market in 2023.
• market-2030-51b: $5.1B market by 2030.
• cagr-115pct: 11.5% CAGR 2023-2030.
• four-service-categories: ADR + orbit adjustment, robotic servicing, refueling, assembly.

Reviewer notes

Tier D: industry market-research firm; quality-controlled but not peer- reviewed. The $2.4B-$5.1B range provides a defensible market-size floor for satellite servicing — but in mass terms this is small relative to data center / SBSP demand. q6's calc should treat satellite servicing as a percent-level rather than tonnage-level demand driver under BAU; industrial-explosion could shift this.