Source Review: Air Liquide Baytown $850M, 9,000 t/d ASU (June 2024)
Verdict: Consistent Confidence: high
Primary-source corporate announcement. The 9,000 t/d O₂ capacity (= 3.29 Mt/yr if continuous) at $850M capex gives $258/(t/yr) capex coefficient — within ~30% of Thunder Said Energy's $200/(t/yr) rule and the SDC anchor's $137/(t/yr) (Linde Starbase). A single Baytown-class facility supports ~750 Block-3 Starship launches/year (at 4,422 t LOX/launch). For q1's "100 Mt/yr LEO requires ~1,350 ASUs and ~$1.1T capex" line, Baytown is the empirical capex anchor. The investment is conditional on regulatory timeline (ExxonMobil low-carbon hydrogen project alignment), so it's a near-term real-world data point, not just an industry-average estimate.